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The Business of Successful Films

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Our Thinking Lately

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October 2, 2018 By JNH Leave a Comment

“Big” Data or “Smart” Data

In this era of ‘Big Data’ buzzwords flying everywhere, “We at FilmProfit prefer to focus on the accuracy and the appropriateness of data, not its height or its girth.” FilmProfit Uses Latest Data Science Techniques to Guide Financial Modeling Deep knowledge of the

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Film Business Risks, Films and Risk, projections

August 28, 2018 By JNH Leave a Comment

How Do We Arrive At A Film’s Projections Model?

Are They Predictions?I find that some folks prefer to look at Projections as some kind of prediction of performance. Let me start off by saying clearly that Projections of Potential Income ARE NOT PREDICTIONS of any performance. Predicting is what humans have sought for

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately

August 21, 2018 By JNH Leave a Comment

Announcing A New Product, Statistical Confidence Modeling in Film Projections

Bootstrapping Our Way to Confidence and Probability Over our 25 years of financial modeling for films and slates and funds, we have developed sophisticated methods for modeling a film or films in distribution. Because of our hard-won proprietary data and years of deep

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Box Office, comparable pictures, projections, Statistical Analysis

August 14, 2018 By JNH Leave a Comment

Big Changes Coming to Landscape of Film Marketing

Television, The Big Elephant in the Room, May Be Shrinking The number one single cost in releasing a film to theaters has been the buying of television ads. For many studio films, this can run from $4 million a week to $15 million a week in the month to six weeks

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately

August 13, 2018 By JNH

Comparable Pictures: How to Choose ‘Em and Use ‘Em

I get a lot of clients who find it difficult to choose comparable films right off the bat. I wrote this article to help them, and help others, even if they do not become clients. Bona Fortuna to all! How I Go About Choosing Comparable Pictures In a given year I might

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Box Office, comparable pictures, SVOD, VOD

August 9, 2018 By JNH

FilmProfit Glossary of Film Terms

This is a Glossary of Key Terms Above The Line Budgets for films usually begin with a section that covers creative talent such as: actors, directors, producers, and writers. This section is followed by the rest of the budget, or Below the line. This term also refers to the

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Box Office

December 14, 2017 By JNH Leave a Comment

Key Risks In Making A Film, & How to Manage Them

If you're in the film business there's a good chance you've read a statement like this before: Statements like this usually go on half a page or more, listing a pile of risks, including competition and the like. But I am focused here on the specific risks a producer

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Box Office, Film Audiences, film business plan, Films and Risk, Video On Demand

December 11, 2017 By JNH 2 Comments

Comparable Pictures: How to Choose ‘Em and Use ‘Em

I have helped producers choose and use literally thousands of titles for comparison to the films they seek to finance and make. When I am preparing projections and financials packages, whether for a single film or a slate of films, the first crucial task for me is to

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Filed Under: Our Thinking Lately Tagged With: Box Office, comparable pictures, film business plan, movie business, projections

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Recent Posts

  • Part 2: A Bit More from The Interview by Nancy Fulton
  • Jeffrey Hardy Interviewed by Nancy Fulton
  • What in Holy Hell Are Indie Films Facing in 2021?
  • Comparable Pictures (ROIs) List
  • Indies Lose Freedom (and money) Under Studio-Set Deals
  • Booksmart Release – Is This the New Way We Distribute Indie Films?
  • Retreat from 2017 Panic!
  • Key Risks in Making a Film, Part III
  • “Big” Data or “Smart” Data
  • How Do We Arrive At A Film’s Projections Model?

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Our Thinking Lately Blog

  • Part 2: A Bit More from The Interview by Nancy Fulton
  • Jeffrey Hardy Interviewed by Nancy Fulton
  • What in Holy Hell Are Indie Films Facing in 2021?
  • Comparable Pictures (ROIs) List
  • Indies Lose Freedom (and money) Under Studio-Set Deals
  • Booksmart Release – Is This the New Way We Distribute Indie Films?
  • Retreat from 2017 Panic!

Navigation

  • About Us
    • A Little History
    • Our Clients
    • Our License Agreement
    • Our Terms of Use/Your Privacy
  • Services
    • Financial Models
      • Some Additions to Filmmakers Financials Package
    • Comparable Pictures ROIs
    • Audience Analysis
    • Indie Horror Special Packages
    • Indie Low Budget Art-House Special Packages
    • Confidence and Probability Studies
    • Greenlight Analysis
    • Strategic Business Plans
    • Slate and Fund Strategies
    • FilmProfit Reports Shop
  • Our Thinking Lately
  • Contact Us
  • Opt-out preferences

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